hamilton over at econbrowser sees a change in the economy from gloom to neutral
what? neutral?
nothing would please me more than to know i am wrong
hamilton and many other world class economists say the sun begins to shine
but im sorry i dont buy it
----
what has changed???
few if any of the fundamental causes of this breakdown have been corrected
we got to this disaster because we exported jobs and production to lower cost nations
then used the home atm and other methods of borrowed money to buy their goods
we tried to overcome stagnant and falling wages with borrowing
we cut taxes and launched two wars and a prescription drug part d all unfunded
while the asian tigers and ME oil giants were awash with capital looking for a place to invest at a high safe return
our financial giants on wall street and k street deregulated banking and pushed (yes thats right like a drug dealer)
pushed innovative debt instruments and especially derivatives till they came out of our ears
we wallowed in mis-allocated capital (that was borrowed) and prices of homes, commodities and equities etc skyrocketed
then the collapse of counterparty trust in a willey-coyote moment brought the system crashing down
that is the road runner-cliff- notes history of how the shit hit the fan
----
someone tell me, what fundamentals have changed.... (fundamentals)
as the rope, that caught our fall into the abyss, frays
Sunday, August 30, 2009
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