my dear country is about to begin taking its bitter medicine and the affliction will result in a long term and most unpleasant treatment (gross understatement)
the weakening (devaluation) of the dollar will force us to deal with our imbalanced trade (current account deficit)by making imports more expensive...like a tariff... only no income goes to uncle sam
a strengthening currency entitles the bearer to a greater share of the goods and services produced by a country that has a comparatively weakened currency
china, with a strengthening currency and economy none the less faces a number of future liabilities
first they hold maybe around one trillion dollars of their reserves as dollars or dollar denominated securities....the value of which is rapidly declining
second their country is "geared" towards being an exporting economy not a consumer economy, they will no doubt transition
we
the usa
are lucky that we have all our international "debts" (japan saudi britain and china hold the lions share)
all these debts are dollar denominated
by contrast poor argentia for instance owed a ton of money denominated in dollars
when their currency went bust
their debt was magnified...ouch
but as the value of the dollar drops, people around the world will be looking to either spend their dollars on real things or get out of dollars thus driving further the dollars decline
Thursday, November 26, 2009
Wednesday, November 25, 2009
greed is not good
ok this all just got too abstract for me and im to blame...i own it
bringin it down to brass tacks
id like to make enuf money AND do substantial good along the way
some people have no concept of enuf
they are never satisfied
as the door to the tomb is slowly closing they have to go back one more time to fill their pockets up with treasure until they are trapped for eternity..entombed
1 million dollar bonuses are not enuf cause the guy next door is getting 2 million and you gotta get the most
the world is never enuf
thats greed
greed is NOT good
greed is unrestrained growth...greed is cancer
you can make money and participate in a community and a governing process that aims towards justice and fairness
and yes there are many examples where governments are corrupted and run over the people
but a land without governance,.... a free for all simply means the strongest bully , or the most powerful gang rules by terror
you can eliminate government tomorrow but one would still have, out of control mega corporations and gangs (mafia , crips bloods hells angels ms13) secret societies and tribalism
whats the alternative?
bringin it down to brass tacks
id like to make enuf money AND do substantial good along the way
some people have no concept of enuf
they are never satisfied
as the door to the tomb is slowly closing they have to go back one more time to fill their pockets up with treasure until they are trapped for eternity..entombed
1 million dollar bonuses are not enuf cause the guy next door is getting 2 million and you gotta get the most
the world is never enuf
thats greed
greed is NOT good
greed is unrestrained growth...greed is cancer
you can make money and participate in a community and a governing process that aims towards justice and fairness
and yes there are many examples where governments are corrupted and run over the people
but a land without governance,.... a free for all simply means the strongest bully , or the most powerful gang rules by terror
you can eliminate government tomorrow but one would still have, out of control mega corporations and gangs (mafia , crips bloods hells angels ms13) secret societies and tribalism
whats the alternative?
you may know them by their deeds
look, im trying to be clear not riddle-culous
you are not slow im just not saying it right
ok third try
claiming self interest or claiming selflessness...neither claim is necessarily authentic
know people by their record of actions not possibly feigned philosophical claims
MLK was an altruistic guy...not cause he said he was...cause he did he was
you are not slow im just not saying it right
ok third try
claiming self interest or claiming selflessness...neither claim is necessarily authentic
know people by their record of actions not possibly feigned philosophical claims
MLK was an altruistic guy...not cause he said he was...cause he did he was
being brutally honest
1write wrote
"I'm slow. What do you mean?"
---
to review, you said,
"When somebody claims self-interest as a motive they seem more honest to me than someone who claims the motive of seflessness."
my rhetorical question is:
so when i rob you ill make sure to remark how im doing this in my own self interest and that will make you see me as a person of great integrity?
"I'm slow. What do you mean?"
---
to review, you said,
"When somebody claims self-interest as a motive they seem more honest to me than someone who claims the motive of seflessness."
my rhetorical question is:
so when i rob you ill make sure to remark how im doing this in my own self interest and that will make you see me as a person of great integrity?
the honesty of a shark
1 write said
"When somebody claims self-interest as a motive they seem more honest to me than someone who claims the motive of seflessness. I'm very weary of the religious."
---
well i guess that make genghis khan one hell of a mensch
"When somebody claims self-interest as a motive they seem more honest to me than someone who claims the motive of seflessness. I'm very weary of the religious."
---
well i guess that make genghis khan one hell of a mensch
NAV for companies with international exposure
RockyR said
"mostly in cash here. sad"
hey Rocky, yeah...its hard to know if one should jump, the markets are so crazy
gold looking bubblelicious of late if you just look at the chart
but
when one considers the talk coming out of the fed...maintaining low rates
and all the rest of the craziness out there...gold probably still has a good run ahead of it
i guess...but i just dont know...and for that reason im never all in...in anything
and so ill never make the big hit...im notsosmart
theres a good argument out there that equities will continue to do well as long as the fed is demolishing the dollar
ie if one assumes any company has an intrinsic NAV then as the dollar becomes worth less the dollar denominated value of the outstanding shares should go up
heres my question, ...is this more true.... or only true... for companies that have international market exposure...i would think so,
and they should do "better" if (when) there is a recovering world economy as we, the (usa) are being dunked repeatedly in the toilet
"mostly in cash here. sad"
hey Rocky, yeah...its hard to know if one should jump, the markets are so crazy
gold looking bubblelicious of late if you just look at the chart
but
when one considers the talk coming out of the fed...maintaining low rates
and all the rest of the craziness out there...gold probably still has a good run ahead of it
i guess...but i just dont know...and for that reason im never all in...in anything
and so ill never make the big hit...im notsosmart
theres a good argument out there that equities will continue to do well as long as the fed is demolishing the dollar
ie if one assumes any company has an intrinsic NAV then as the dollar becomes worth less the dollar denominated value of the outstanding shares should go up
heres my question, ...is this more true.... or only true... for companies that have international market exposure...i would think so,
and they should do "better" if (when) there is a recovering world economy as we, the (usa) are being dunked repeatedly in the toilet
gdx is not gld
to RockyR
im not smart about GDX, im not sure i can answer your question, so research this idea
but i think that this etf is composed of parts that mine and as such those producers hedge in such a way (straddle is it called ?) that price fluctuations outside of a predicted range, both higher and lower, dampen profits
ie the producers count a a business model where price is stable or slow trend
again im not smart about this and will check it out tonight
im not smart about GDX, im not sure i can answer your question, so research this idea
but i think that this etf is composed of parts that mine and as such those producers hedge in such a way (straddle is it called ?) that price fluctuations outside of a predicted range, both higher and lower, dampen profits
ie the producers count a a business model where price is stable or slow trend
again im not smart about this and will check it out tonight
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